Back in September, the wise guys didn’t think much of the Green Bay Packers.
Sportsinsider.com placed the Packers’ odds of winning the Super Bowl at 2500. Eleven teams were given a better chance of winning the Super Bowl than the Packers.
Today, according to betonline.ag, Green Bay has the second-best odds in the NFL to win the Super Bowl LV.
Kansas City is the overwhelming favorite at 7-to-4, while Green Bay is second at 15-to-2. New Orleans is third at 8-to-1, the Los Angeles Rams are 10-to-1, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Seattle and Tampa Bay are all 12-to-1, Baltimore is 20-to-1 and Tennessee is 28-to-1.
Green Bay is also the frontrunner to win the NFC at 13-to-5. The Packers are followed by New Orleans (3/1), the Rams (9/2), and Seattle and Tampa Bay (both 6/1).
It’s a remarkable rise for a Green Bay team that was completely overlooked and left for dead when the year began.
The Packers went 13-3 in 2019 and reached the NFC Championship Game. But San Francisco routed the Packers, 37-20, in the conference title game. Green Bay then took some hits in free agency and drafted for the future, not the present.
With others in the NFC appearing vastly improved, the sharks in Las Vegas soured on Green Bay. In fact, betonline.ag set the odds on Green Bay to make the playoffs at just -130.
Behind quarterback Aaron Rodgers, though, the Packers (10-3) have been one of the NFL’s biggest surprises, though, and currently hold the No. 1 seed in the NFC. With the playoffs expanding to seven teams in each conference, the No. 1 seed is the only one that will receive a bye.
“Yeah, I think it’s important for sure to get that extra week of rest,” Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers said. “The big thing, though, and you guys know this: we’ve played in I believe four NFC Championship games. All four on the road.
“So being able to have the whole thing come through Green Bay is something that we’ve talked about for a long time and we’ve wanted and we’ve never had. I think that would definitely be in our favor, with the weather that we have in Green Bay, play at home, be on our schedule. So that’s obviously in place. It was always in play, but it’s definitely in play now.”
Green Bay and New Orleans both have 10-3 records, but the Packers hold the head-to-head advantage due to their win over the Saints in Week 3. The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle are both 9-4 and battling for the NFC West crown.
From 1990-2019 when the NFL used the 12-team playoff format, No. 1 seeds reached the Super Bowl 31-of-60 times (51.7%). There were 14 No. 1 seeds from the AFC that qualified and 17 from the NFC.
This year, with only one team in each conference receiving a first-round bye, the benefits of being the No. 1 seed could be even greater.
“Yeah, I think it’s extremely critical,” Packers coach Matt LaFleur said of being the No. 1 seed. “And once you get in the playoffs and you accomplish your first goal, it’s on to the next goal.
“We know that, again, we’re not going to change our approach. We’re going to take it one game at a time. In terms of the No. 1 seed, it’s always nice to be able to control your own destiny, but again, one day at a time.”
With three weeks left in the regular season, here’s how betonline.ag handicaps things:
Odds to win Super Bowl LV
Kansas City: 175
Green Bay: 750
New Orleans: 800
Los Angeles Rams: 1000
Tampa Bay: 1200
Odds to win the NFC
Green Bay: 260
New Orleans :300
Los Angeles Rams: 450
Tampa Bay: 600